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Equity Market Cycle

Historically it has been observed that equity markets and economic performance have exhibited a cyclical pattern over an extended time horizon. Typically this cyclical pattern is characterised by stock market prices rising over a period of time, usually a number of years, (often referred to as a “Bull Run”). During a Bull Run share values can and often do display short term volatility with short periods of falling values for days or weeks, usually caused by investor nervousness and uncertainty in response to a given event. However the short term falls are of relatively short duration or low magnitude and the upward trend in stock values is soon re-established as the cause of “wobble” dissipates and the Bull Run continues. 

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